viernes, junio 26, 2009

Irán sucumbe a la dictadura de Ahmadinejad

GREENREVOlivierLaban-Mattei:Getty


Mientras el mundo llora por la muerte de Michael Jackson, y ando de luto por la muerte de la democracia iraní, una de las más vibrantes del Medio Oriente. Informe el NYT que los margenes de maniobra de los disidentes se estrechan debido a que el principal organo electoral dice que la elección del 5 de junio fue muy "saludable". Y no solo eso, un alto líder religioso afirmó hoy en un sermón que los líderes de las protestas deberían ser castigados, y algunos hasta ejecutados. En ninguna parte del Corán vale recordar que Dios castiga con la muerte a quien lucha por la libertad. Ya sea en el islam o en el cristianismo o en otras religiones, parece ser que los líderes religiosos se dedican avergonzar al que llaman por Dios. Así que mientras que poco a poco los periodistas extranjeros son ordenados a que salgan del país, e Irán se queda sin testigos externos, algo extraño empieza a ocurrir: hay personas del establishment que empiezan a darse cuenta de lo que viene, y tienen miedo. Porque ven que Admadinejad se convertirá en dictador, ayudado por las alas duras del ejército y del clero iraní. Y esa gente empieza a construir vías de escape como detalla Andrew Sullivan hoy en su blog, y donde cita a un periodista de la BBC y la amistad que hizo con un iraní que presiente lo que viene:


Iran is different, as we have seen. How different we will only find out in the coming weeks and months. It is easy to suspect that tyranny will prevail at the barrel of a gun. It is harder to see this as a turning point for the good right now. But I was struck by this missive from the great BBC reporter, John Simpson, upon leaving this great country at such a time. Read the whole thing. But this anecdote tells us a lot:

For reasons best not explained, I've come to know a former member of the Revolutionary Guards really well. He's done some pretty dreadful things in his life, from attacking women in the streets for not wearing the full Islamic gear to fighting alongside Islamic revolutionaries in countries abroad. And yet now, in the tumult that has gripped Iran since its elections last week, he's had a change of heart.

He's become a backer of Mir Hossein Mousavi, the reformist candidate who alleges fraud in the elections. He's saved up the money to send his son to a private school abroad, and he loathes President Ahmadinejad. He's not the only one.

I had to leave Iran last Sunday, when the authorities refused to renew my visa. But before I left, another former senior Revolutionary Guard came to our hotel to see us. "Remember me," he pleaded. "Remember that I helped the BBC." I realised that even a person so intimately linked to the Islamic Revolution thinks that something will soon change in Iran. The 11 extraordinary days I spent there was my 20th visit in 30 years. I've been reviewing the material we recorded, taking a second look at what was really going on. I think that these last weeks may turn out to be as momentous as the Islamic Revolution I witnessed there 30 years ago. The Revolutionary Guards with second thoughts illustrate some of the deeper forces driving a crisis which I believe could change Iran forever.


El NYT presenta un buena línea del tiempo de los sucesos recientes en Irán y tiene un detallado blog al respecto.


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